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Monitoring and prediction of urban growth using GIS techniques: A case study of Dohuk City Kurdistan Region of Iraq

 Hussein D. Mohammed1, Muhssein A.Ali 2 and  Mohammed A.Abid3

1 City Planning Engineering Department, Sulaimany Polytechnic Univ., Kurdistan Region, Iraq

2 Higher Education and Scientific Research of Iraq, Baghdad-Iraq

3 Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Tiktit, Tikrit, Iraq

ABSTRACT

      Everyday, Engineers and planners use GIS technology to research, develop, implement and monitor the progress of their plans. GIS provides planners surveyors, and engineers with the tools they need to design and map their neighborhoods and cities. Planners have the technical expertise, political understanding, and good understanding to transform a vision of tomorrow into a strategic action plan for today, and they use GIS to facilitate the decision-making process.

The growth of urban cities have been take uncontrolled policies ,which leads the planners to us information technologies such as GIS technology and remote sensing data to monitor this type or growth and to study the future expectation.

This paper aims to observe and predict the urban growth of Dohuk City using the twin techniques of GIS and Satellite images. Data have been derived from high resolution satellite imagery and filed survey .the outcome of this work shows that the area of Dohuk has expanded through the period from 2003-2012 with a rapid growth.

The main purpose of this paper is to use high resolution imagery for detecting urban growth changes occurred in residential areas of Dohuk city during the last ten years.

The database are designed and developed to support application modules namely built up area, green and recreational areas. Finally, change process of Dohuk city residential areas over the last ten years was determined using GIS overlay analysis and its relation with population growth was studied. In this period, urban growth of residential areas have expanded rapidly because of many reasons such as; the demographic migration from the villages and rural areas adjacent to the city center as well as migration from areas of central and southern Iraq, because of the stable security situation and moderation climate in addition to providing business and investment opportunities in addition to the fact that the city is considered as trade free zone with neighboring countries.

Key words: Urban growth; Satellite imagery; GIS; Monitoring;